New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Predictions, Odds & Starting Pitchers

Apr 19, 2024; San Francisco, California, USA; San Francisco Giants catcher Tom Murphy (19) and pitcher Blake Snell (7) talk before the pitch against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the fourth inning at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: John Hefti-USA TODAY SportsThe New York Mets hope to end a three-game losing streak when they visit the San Francisco Giants on Wednesday afternoonThe Mets send Sean Manaea to the mound while the Giants counter with struggling Blake Snell as they go for the sweepSee the Mets vs Giants predictions, odds, and starting pitchers for April 24

The New York Mets (12-11, 6-5 away) wrap up their three-game series with the San Francisco Giants (12-13, 7-5 home) on Wednesday afternoon at Oracle Park. Hoping to avoid a three-game sweep – and a four-game losing streak – the Mets send Sean Manaea to the mound while the Giants trot out reigning NL Cy Young-winner Blake Snell, who’s off to an abysmal in his quest to repeat as the top pitcher in the National League.

Oddsmakers still have confidence that Snell gives the Giants an edge, listing San Francisco as a -130 home favorite in the Mets vs Giants odds for April 24.

New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Odds

Wednesday’s MLB odds show the Mets vs Giants run total at just 7.5. The Mets are 12-11 over/under so far this season while the Giants are 13-10-2.

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Odds as of April 24 at FanDuel. Claim the FanDuel sign up bonus to bet on Wednesday’s MLB action. 

The Mets have only managed three runs on 20 hits through their last three games. In the first two games of the Giants series, New York lost 5-2 on Monday and 5-1 on Tuesday. Logan Webb pitched eight scoreless innings last night, allowing six hits and a walk with four strikeouts.

The Mets’ current skid followed on the heels of a six-game win streak and a run of eight wins in nine games. After a sluggish 0-4 start to the season, New York’s offense woke up. The Mets currently sit 13th in wRC+ (104) and 11th in wOBA (.317).

The Giants are 17th in wRC+ (100) and 18th in wOBA (.312). San Francisco also trails New York in team ERA (4.60 vs 3.64) but the peripherals indicate a measure of bad luck for the Giants pitchers. San Francisco’s staff has an xFIP of 3.86 (11th), which is considerably better than the Mets at 4.08 (19th).

Sean Manaea vs Blake Snell

ManaeaVSSnell

On paper, the Giants should have an edge in the starting pitcher matchup. Blake Snell won his second career Cy Young last year with the Padres – and started this season as the +1800 seventh-favorite in the NL Cy Young odds – but after three starts in 2024, his ERA remains in double-digits, while his WHIP is verging on 2.00.

Last time out, Snell was tagged for five runs on nine hits and a walk in just 4.2 innings in a 17-1 rout against Arizona. He hasn’t made it out of the fifth inning yet this season and the Giants have lost all three of his starts in lopsided fashion.

The good new for Giants fans is that their prized offseason acquisition hasn’t lost any velocity and his xERA (4.07) is considerably lower than his actual ERA. Hitters actual wOBA against Snell is a devastating .414, but their xWOBA is just .322, slightly higher than last year (.300) but not disastrous by any means.

Snell has solid career numbers against the Mets lineup he’ll be facing on Wednesday afternoon. In 114 total at-bats, New York hitters are slashing .228/.312/.404 against Snell with five homers and five doubles. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor each have a pair of dingers.

Manaea has considerably worse stats against the Giants’ lineup. In 85 at-bats, San Francisco’s hitters have a .285 average and .459 slugging percentage. Nick Ahmed, Tom Murphy, and Jorge Soler have each taken him deep once.

Manaea has made four starts this season, and three were solid. Last time out, he went five innings, allowing two runs on four hits and three walks in a 9-4 win over the Dodgers.

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Mets vs Giants Prediction

There is nothing mechanical to suggest Snell’s current struggles are going to continue. The 6’4 lefty remains one of the most talented pitchers in baseball.

Manaea on the other hand has an xERA of 5.71 and is facing a batting order that’s caused him plenty of problems in the past. This is a great spot to buy low on Snell and sell high on Manaea.

NYM vs SF pick: Giants moneyline (-130)

Sascha Paruk’s 2024 MLB betting record: 11-5 (+3.63 units)

All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise.

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