49ers vs Chiefs Props – Best Player Props to Bet for the Super Bowl
by Ryan Metivier in NFL Football
Updated Feb 11, 2024 · 10:14 AM PST
As exciting as betting on a winner for the Super Bowl is, Super Bowl prop bets are just as exciting and give you way more opportunities to get in on the actionThe passing prop totals for Brock Purdy and Patrick Mahomes are set at 246.5 and 261.5 yardsSee the best Super Bowl player props to target for San Francisco vs Kansas City here
Super Bowl 58 is just hours away and we have the latest 49ers vs Chiefs props and odds for all of the key players taking the field at 6:30 pm EST. The star players like Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, Isiah Pacheco, Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel and George Kittle are likely good Super Bowl player prop picks, but who else could have a big game?
Read on for all of the passing, rushing, receiving and touchdown prop odds and picks for Super Bowl 58 here.
49ers vs Chiefs Player Props
Passer | Completions | Passing Yards | Passing TDs |
---|---|---|---|
Brock Purdy (SF) | 20.5 (O -125 | U -105) | 247.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 1.5 (O -130 | U +100) |
Patrick Mahomes (KC) | 25.5 (O +100 | U -130) | 261.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 1.5 (O -166 | U +130) |
Rusher | Rushing Attempts | Rushing Yards | Rushing + Receiving Yards |
Christian McCaffrey (SF) | 18.5 (O -135 | U +105) | 89.5 (O -125 | U -105) | 128.5 (O -125 | U -105) |
Isiah Pacheco (KC) | 16.5 (O -110 | U -120) | 67.5 (O -130 | U +100) | 88.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
Deebo Samuel (SF) | 2.5 (O -166 | U +130) | 16.5 (O -125 | U -105) | 79.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
Brock Purdy (SF) | 3.5 (O +114 | U -145) | 12.5 (O -115 | U -115) | OFF |
Patrick Mahomes (KC) | 4.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 25.5 (O -115 | U -115) | OFF |
Elijah Mitchell (SF) | 1.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 4.5 (O -115 | U -115) | OFF |
Brandon Aiyuk (SF) | OFF | OFF | 59.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
Jauan Jennings (SF) | OFF | OFF | 15.5 (O -110 | U -120) |
Justin Watson (KC) | OFF | OFF | 16.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (KC) | OFF | OFF | 19.5 (O-120 | U -110) |
Rashee Rice (KC) | OFF | OFF | 68.5 (O-115 | U -115) |
Receiver | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Longest Reception |
Deebo Samuel (SF) | 4.5 (O -135 | U +105) | 58.5 (O -130 | U +100) | 22.5 (O -105 | U -125) |
Justin Watson (KC) | 1.5 (O -110 | U -120) | 16.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 12.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
Brandon Aiyuk (SF) | 4.5 (O +110 | U -140) | 59.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 24.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
Christian McCaffrey (SF) | 4.5 (O -135 | U +105) | 33.5 (O -125 | U -105) | 13.5 (O -125 | U -105) |
George Kittle (SF) | 3.5 (O -166 | U +130) | 49.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 21.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
Isiah Pacheco (KC) | 3.5 (O +124 | U -160) | 17.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 10.5 (O +105 | U -135) |
Rashee Rice (KC) | 6.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 68.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 22.5 (O -110 | U -120) |
Travis Kelce (KC) | 6.5 (O -160 | U +120) | 70.5 (O -130 | U +100) | 20.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
Jauan Jennings (SF) | 1.5 (O +120 | U -150) | 14.5 (O -125 | U -105) | 11.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
Richie James Jr (KC) | OFF | 4.5 (O -110 | U -120) | 4.5 (O +105 | U -120) |
Kyle Juszczyk (SF) | 0.5 (O -160 | U +124) | 4.5 (O-115 | U -115) | 4.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (KC) | 1.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 19.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 134.5 (O-110 | U -120) |
Noah Gray (KC) | 1.5 (-120 | U -110) | 13.5 (O -110 | U -120) | 9.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
Oddsmakers are expecting both quarterbacks to throw for at least two touchdowns with Purdy given -130 odds to go over 1.5 TDs and Mahomes -160 odds to do the same. Christian McCaffrey has the highest rushing total at 89.5 yards, while Travis Kelce has the highest receiving total at 70.5. Odds from the DraftKings app.
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49ers vs Chiefs Props #1: Brock Purdy Passing Yards
Brock Purdy’s passing yards prop is set at 247.5 at DraftKings. On one hand, that’s a number he’s eclipsed in both playoff games passing for 267 and 252 yards. He’s also gone over 247.5 yards in 12 of his past 16 games.
On the other had, he’s also fallen under this number in two of his past five games, while only going over by 19, 4 and 7 yards in the three games he did.
Then there’s the Chiefs’ defense that is giving up just 181.5 yards per game passing and just 5.4 yards per pass attempt which is second to only Baltimore.
If we look at past weeks Lamar Jackson did throw for 272 yards last week, but the Chiefs have held opposing passers to under 247.5 yards in six of their past eight games and also in 13 of 20 overall games this season. One other game they gave up 248 yards right on.
49ers vs Chiefs Prop Picks: Brock Purdy under 247.5 passing yards (-110); at DraftKings
.@BillSimmons breaks down one of his favorite #SuperBowlLVIII prop bets 🗣️
🏈 Noah Gray First Touchdown Scorer (+4500)@FDSportsbook | @TheCousinSal | #SFvsKC pic.twitter.com/UTpXUE37C3
— FanDuel TV (@FanDuelTV) February 6, 2024
49ers vs Chiefs Props #2: Noah Gray Receiving Yards
With only a limited amount of reliable targets to choose from, you can be sure the 49ers will be doing their best to take away Kelce and Rice on passing plays. Someone else will need to emerge for Mahomes and why not Noah Gray?
He saw five targets last week but only caught two for eight yards. He’s also seen at least three passes in 5/6 recent games and in 11/19 overall games this season.
His receiving total of 13.5 yards is a number he surpassed versus the Bills (16) and Dolphins (20) and also ten other games during the regular season.
But let’s also look at the 49ers against tight ends. They gave up 105 yards to the Lions’ TEs last week, but most of those yards went to Sam LaPorta who had 97. Backup TE Anthony Firkser had eight yards. But let’s look at backup TEs by week against the 49ers. Take the last ten games and in six of them a backup TE has gone over 13.5 yards and in another a backup TE landed right on 13 yards. In fact, in one game versus the Cardinals, two backup TEs accomplished this.
Let’s include Gray among our best NFL player props for the Super Bowl.
49ers vs Chiefs Prop Picks: Noah Gray over 13.5 receiving yards (-110); at DraftKings Printable Super Bowl 58 Props Sheet – Download the 2024 PDF & Play at Your PartyRead More
Super Bowl Player Prop Public Betting Splits
Wondering how the public is betting the top 49ers vs Chiefs player props? DraftKings has released the latest player props that are being bet the most as of Sunday afternoon below.
49ers vs Chiefs Super Bowl Scoring Props
Player Odds to Score First TD Odds to Score Any TD Christian McCaffrey (SF) +360 -225 Isiah Pacheco (KC) +650 -120 Travis Kelce (KC) +700 -110 Rashee Rice (KC) +900 +135 Deebo Samuel (SF) +1100 +135 Brandon Aiyuk (SF) +1100 +175 George Kittle (SF) +1100 +175 Patrick Mahomes (KC) +2500 +400 Marquez Valdes-Scantling (KC) +3000 +550 Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) +3000 +600 SF 49ers DEF/ST +3000 +600 Brock Purdy (SF) +3000 +600 KC Chiefs DEF/ST +3500 +650 Justin Watson (KC) +3500 +650 Jerick McKinnon (KC) +4000 +650 Jauan Jennings (SF) +4000 +750 Kyle Juszczyk (SF) +4000 +750 Skyy Moore (KC) +5000 +800 Noah Gray (KC) +5500 +900 Kadarius Toney (KC) +5500 +950 Elijah Mitchell (SF) +5500 +1100 Mecole Hardman (KC) +6000 +1300 Richie James Jr (KC) +8000 +1400 Ronnie Bell (SF) +10000 +2200 Ray-Ray McCloud III (SF) +10000 +2200 Chris Conley (SF) +11000 +2200 Jordan Mason (SF) +11000 +3500 Charlie Woerner (SF) +15000 +3500 La’Mical Perine (KC) +16000 +4000 Blake Bell (KC) +17000 +4000 Brayden Willis (SF) +18000 +4500 No Touchdown Scorer +18000 N/A Justyn Ross (KC) +20000 +4500 No surprise here that McCaffrey is the most-favored player to find the endzone this Sunday. He’s scored four touchdowns in this last two playoff games and has a touchdown in 33 of 37 games with the 49ers in his career. If you’re wondering what is a TD prop bet, well these bets allow you to predict if a player will score the game’s first TD, last TD or to simply score a TD at anytime in the game.
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BACKBET NOW49ers vs Chiefs Props #3: Isiah Pacheco Anytime Touchdown
Pacheco ended the regular season with touchdowns in four straight games, with four rushing and one receiving in that time. He’s continued that run in the playoffs with a touchdown on the ground in all three games, meaning he’s now found the endzone in seven straight games.
The Chiefs have just seven total touchdowns during their three playoff games and they’ve all come from the main three guys: Isiah Pacheco (3), Travis Kelce (3) and Rashee Rice (1).
In the NFC title game, both David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs had a rushing score for the Lions and if the Chiefs are to have success on Sunday night, surely Pacheco will be involved.
49ers vs Chiefs Prop Picks: Isiah Pacheco anytime touchdown (-120); at DraftKings
The #SuperBowl is one day away!@meghanpayton7 and @mrdubbsie build a Same Game Parlay. Are you tailing? 🧐
🏈 Chiefs ML🏈 Brock Purdy Over 12.5 Rush Yards🏈 Isiah Pacheco Any Time TD@FanDuel | @FDSportsbook pic.twitter.com/tlU22cGAPN
— FanDuel TV (@FanDuelTV) February 10, 2024
49ers vs Chiefs Props #4: Christian McCaffrey Anytime / First Touchdown
It really doesn’t take a rocket scientist to predict McCaffrey finding the endzone. It’s something he’s done in all six career playoff games and in 33 of his 37 career games as a Niner. He’s rushed for two touchdowns in each playoff game this season as well.
You don’t need me to tell you that -225 odds for him to score anytime isn’t a big moneymaker. But a $100 bet on -225 odds still returns $44 of profit. People pay financial experts to get a single-digit ROI in investments over the course of the year. And here we have a 44% ROI over a three-hour period on an outcome that has come through 89% of the time (33/37 games). Nothing is certain, but CMC and touchdowns is about as close as you can get.
Still, I know you all want something a bit more. So let’s look at his first touchdown odds of +360.
In 19 games this season San Francisco scored the game’s first touchdown 14 times. Of those 14, McCaffrey was the first scorer four times. So while it’s a much lower hit-rate, it’s certainly worth a flyer if you’re looking for longer odds.
49ers vs Chiefs Prop Picks: Christian McCaffrey anytime touchdown (-225) / first touchdown scorer (+360); at DraftKings
Get more Super Bowl 58 coverage from SBD here!
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